fed- interest rates and inflation...

Unmoderated except for TOU and security breaches.
User avatar
MadMoonMan
Karma Hippie
Karma Hippie
Custom Title: nOT-a-BoT
Location: A Quantum Universe
Has bestowed Karma : 15 times
Received Karma : 231 times
Posts: 8028
Joined: Sat Aug 29, 2009 3:35 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by MadMoonMan »

If your in the stock market I would get out now before its to late. If it crashes and your in your stuck so stay in thats your only option.
I hope I'm wrong.
Oh .. my ... it get's worse. Boys and girls.

First off you know the goverment is lieing to us.?
Just because I can't spell misanthrope doesn't mean I'm completely stupid.

User avatar
MadMoonMan
Karma Hippie
Karma Hippie
Custom Title: nOT-a-BoT
Location: A Quantum Universe
Has bestowed Karma : 15 times
Received Karma : 231 times
Posts: 8028
Joined: Sat Aug 29, 2009 3:35 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by MadMoonMan »

Yes! Peons! Don't pay any attention to your eyes! Are you going to believe your lieing eyes or Me?
Just because I can't spell misanthrope doesn't mean I'm completely stupid.

User avatar
Butcher Bob
Karma God
Karma God
Has bestowed Karma : 1332 times
Received Karma : 944 times
Posts: 3966
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 10:18 am

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by Butcher Bob »

rSin wrote:
Thu Mar 16, 2023 6:38 pm
despise the hype i dont see these incirmental changes to china's portolio amounting to anything
China plays long game...it adds up over time.


MadMoonMan wrote:
Thu Mar 16, 2023 7:29 pm
This current government is completely incompetent...
You got that right. :frown:
I keep watching Yellen testifying in hearings, thinking.....we're fuk'd. :facepalm:

User avatar
rSin
Karma Hippie
Karma Hippie
Custom Title: world where everone gets
Location: neck deep
Has bestowed Karma : 1668 times
Received Karma : 1064 times
Posts: 7295
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2010 8:12 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by rSin »

the intolerance of the old order is emerging from the rosy mist in which it has hitherto been obscured.

User avatar
Lrus007
Advanced Grower
Karma Bhudda
Karma Bhudda
Custom Title: hash and oil maker
Has bestowed Karma : 1136 times
Received Karma : 1789 times
Posts: 2982
Joined: Wed Sep 23, 2009 3:21 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by Lrus007 »

gold went over $2000 on a week end.
it has been under $2000 a while. went up
over $200 since the bank failed.
tomorrow is monday bet it goes up more.
My therapist says I am a habitual liar and an attention seeker, therefore nothing I say/write is true and under no circumstances should I be believed nor held accountable for anything I say. all photo's are paintings

People are born with the instinct to fight against their own death, to struggle with their last breath against even the most unavoidable and uncompromising ends.

User avatar
roller24
Karma God
Karma God
Has bestowed Karma : 335 times
Received Karma : 496 times
Posts: 3347
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 10:14 pm
Contact:

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by roller24 »

PRICES FROM march 2021
Eggs 1.62/doz
Bread 1.52/loaf
Gas 2.85/gal
Silver 25/oz
Gold 1721/oz

March 2023
Eggs 4.30
Bread 3.52/loaf
Gas 3.75/gal
Silver 22/oz
gold 1992/oz

These metals are still low in price, probably from manipulation, but definately NOT TOO LATE TO BUY.
Silver and Gold are great stores of value

User avatar
roller24
Karma God
Karma God
Has bestowed Karma : 335 times
Received Karma : 496 times
Posts: 3347
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 10:14 pm
Contact:

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by roller24 »

I don't think the dollar is going to survive until the election of 24.
You can rebound from a recession, and even depression, but not a currency collapse.
The only things of value will be hard assets.

just sayin

User avatar
rSin
Karma Hippie
Karma Hippie
Custom Title: world where everone gets
Location: neck deep
Has bestowed Karma : 1668 times
Received Karma : 1064 times
Posts: 7295
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2010 8:12 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by rSin »

Russia’s Finance Ministry announced on Friday it has settled two issues of dollar-denominated Eurobonds “in full” by sending 17 billion rubles ($221.1 million) in coupon payments to the National Settlement Depository (NSD).

According to the ministry, the payments were on Eurobonds maturing in 2030.

“Thus, obligations on servicing the state securities of the Russian Federation were fulfilled by the Finance Ministry in full,” the statement said.

The payments were made under the mechanism that enables transactions in rubles that was introduced last June, in response to Western sanctions and US attempts to prevent Russia from making debt payments in foreign currency.

Moscow accused Washington at the time of trying to engineer an artificial default, since the country was fully capable of paying its debts.

The mechanism has allowed Russia to pay its foreign-currency debt obligations on time.
the intolerance of the old order is emerging from the rosy mist in which it has hitherto been obscured.

User avatar
rSin
Karma Hippie
Karma Hippie
Custom Title: world where everone gets
Location: neck deep
Has bestowed Karma : 1668 times
Received Karma : 1064 times
Posts: 7295
Joined: Fri Mar 26, 2010 8:12 pm

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by rSin »

In January 2022, when yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.478% were still roughly 1% and those on German Bunds were -0.5%, I warned that inflation would be bad for both stocks and bonds.

Higher inflation would lead to higher bond yields, which in turn would hurt stocks as the discount factor for dividends rose. But, at the same time, higher yields on “safe” bonds would imply a fall in their price, too, owing to the inverse relationship between yields and bond prices.

This basic principle — known as “duration risk” — seems to have been lost on many bankers, fixed-income investors, and bank regulators. As rising inflation in 2022 led to higher bond yields, 10-year Treasurys lost more value (-20%) than the S&P 500 SPX, +1.44% (-15%), and anyone with long-duration fixed-income assets denominated in U.S. dollars DX00, 0.11% or euros USDEUR, 0.55% was left holding the bag.

The consequences for these investors have been severe. By the end of 2022, U.S. banks’ unrealized losses on securities had reached $620 billion, about 28% of their total capital ($2.2 trillion).

Making matters worse, higher interest rates have reduced the market value of banks’ other assets as well. If you make a 10-year bank loan when long-term interest rates are 1%, and those rates then rise to 3.5%, the true value of that loan (what someone else in the market would pay you for it) will fall. Accounting for this implies that U.S. banks’ unrealized losses actually amount to $1.75 trillion, or 80% of their capital.

The “unrealized” nature of these losses is merely an artifact of the current regulatory regime, which allows banks to value securities and loans at their face value rather than at their true market value.
the intolerance of the old order is emerging from the rosy mist in which it has hitherto been obscured.

User avatar
roller24
Karma God
Karma God
Has bestowed Karma : 335 times
Received Karma : 496 times
Posts: 3347
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 10:14 pm
Contact:

fed- interest rates and inflation...

Post by roller24 »

We are Saudi Arabia's bitch at the moment.
If they decide to drop the dollar as the petromoney, the dollar will have nothing to stand on for it's value.
When it occurs, interest rates will be irrellevent.

Post Reply